PMI PMI-RMP - PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Exam

The most effective and transparent approach is for the risk manager to collaborate with the project manager to communicate risk levels to stakeholders . According to PMI ' s PMBOK® Guide and Practice Standard for Project Risk Management, communication of risk should be timely, consistent, and include all relevant stakeholders—not only those who are supportive. Risk information must not be withheld or selectively communicated as this could damage trust and the integrity of the risk process.

" Effective risk communication involves collaborating with the project manager and stakeholders to ensure risks are reported honestly and objectively... Failure to communicate risks in a timely and complete manner can lead to stakeholder dissatisfaction and jeopardize project objectives. "

— PMBOK® Guide, 6th Edition, Section 11.5.2.6 (Project Document Updates: Risk Report, Communications Management)

Also, the Practice Standard for Project Risk Management states that risk communication should be performed collaboratively to ensure the right message, context, and tone are used.

The project manager should provide guidance and coaching to the functional groups on how to properly identify and categorize risks. This will help improve the quality of the risk register and ensure an effective risk response plan can be developed.

The project manager should coach the functional groups on how to properly conduct the process of identifying and categorizing risks, as this will help to improve the quality and consistency of the risk information and to facilitate the development of an effective risk response plan. The project manager should also provide guidance and support on how to use the appropriate tools and techniques, such as risk breakdown structure, risk taxonomy, risk checklists, risk interviews, and risk workshops, to elicit and document the risks from different perspectives and sources. By coaching the functional groups, the project manager can also enhance their risk awareness and ownership, and foster a collaborative risk culture within the project. References: The Standard for Risk Management in Portfolios, Programs, and Projects, page 71-72; PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, page 397-398.

The risk management plan is a document that describes how risk management activities will be structured and performed on a project. It defines the roles and responsibilities, risk categories, risk appetite and thresholds, risk identification and analysis methods, risk response strategies, risk monitoring and reporting mechanisms, and risk governance mechanisms1. The risk management plan should be aligned with the project management plan, which defines the project scope, schedule, cost, quality, and other aspects2. When an organization decides to accelerate a key project, it means that the project objectives, assumptions, constraints, and environment have changed. This will affect the risk exposure and profile of the project, as well as the risk management approach and resources. Therefore, the first action for the project risk manager to take is to revise the risk management plan to reflect the new situation and ensure that the risk management process is still effective and efficient. Revising the risk management plan may involve updating the risk categories, risk appetite and thresholds, risk identification and analysis methods, risk response strategies, risk monitoring and reporting mechanisms, and risk governance mechanisms to suit the accelerated project. The project risk manager should also communicate the revised risk management plan to the relevant stakeholders and obtain their approval and support1. Ensuring sufficient resources are available, updating the risk register, and meeting with the project’s stakeholders are all important actions to take when accelerating a project, but they are not the first action. These actions should be done after revising the risk management plan, as they depend on the updated risk management approach and process. For example, the project risk manager may need to allocate more resources to risk management activities, identify and analyze new or changed risks, implement new or modified risk responses, and report the risk status and performance to the stakeholders based on the revised risk management plan1. References: 2, 1.

Quantitative risk analysis helps to numerically analyze the probability and impact of risks on project objectives. By performing quantitative risk analysis, the risk manager can present the risks with the most impact on achieving the project objectives to the project sponsor. (Reference: PMBOK Guide, 6th Edition, p. 423)

According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Reference Materials, sensitivity analysis is a type of probabilistic analysis that determines how sensitive the results of the analysis are to uncertainties in input variables. Sensitivity analysis determines which uncertainty has the greatest potential for an impact on the project objectives, such as cost, schedule, scope, or quality1. In this case, the risk manager should use sensitivity analysis to facilitate the sponsor’s ask, as it will help to identify and present the risks that have the most impact on achieving the project objectives. Sensitivity analysis can also show how the project objectives will vary with the changes in the input variables, such as the probability and impact of risks2. Sensitivity analysis can be performed using various tools and techniques, such as tornado diagrams, spider charts, or influence diagrams3.

According to the PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Examination Content Outline1, one of the tasks in the domain of Risk Response is to call for a project team meeting to review risk strategies and make required adjustments, as needed, based on risk monitoring and reporting1. In this scenario, the risk manager should do this to address the situation of the availability of experts, which is a key risk for the project. The project team meeting will help the risk manager and the project team to evaluate the effectiveness of the current risk response plan, identify any new risks or changes in existing risks, and develop alternative risk strategies and actions to deal with the staffing issue. The project team meeting will also facilitate the communication and collaboration among the project team members and other stakeholders, and ensure that the project objectives and expectations are aligned. The risk manager should not implement a disciplined tracking method and report to stakeholders accordingly, because that is not a proactive risk response strategy, but rather a passive risk monitoring and reporting technique2. The risk manager should not escalate the staffing topic to the sponsor and request more budget for contingencies, because that is not a feasible or appropriate risk response strategy, as it does not address the root cause of the risk or provide a solution to the problem3. The risk manager should not revisit the project charter for scope adjustments and sign them off with the customer, because that is not a risk response strategy, but rather a scope management process that may have negative impacts on the project quality, cost, and schedule, and may violate the contractual agreement with the customer4. References: 1: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Examination Content Outline, page 102: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 4563: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 4364: A Guide to the Project Management Body of Knowledge (PMBOK® Guide) – Sixth Edition, page 133.

Adding the identified risk to the risk register is the best action that the risk manager can take to address this risk. The risk register is a document that records the identified risks, their characteristics, their status, and their responses. By adding the risk to the risk register, the risk manager can ensure that the risk is not overlooked or ignored, and that it will be subjected to further probability and impact analysis to determine its priority and response strategy. Accepting the identified risk because other stakeholders feel that there are higher priority risks to address is not a good practice, as it may lead to overlooking a potentially significant risk that could affect the stakeholder’s team. Mitigating the identified risk in order to reduce the probability of impacting the stakeholder’s team is not advisable, as it may be a premature or unnecessary action without proper analysis of the risk probability and impact. Escalating the identified risk to the project sponsor and allowing them to determine the best course of action is not appropriate, as it may be an overreaction or a sign of lack of competence from the risk manager, who should be able to handle the risk identification and analysis process. References: PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Exam Content Outline1, PMI Practice Standard for Project Risk Management2, Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Cert Guide3

Whenever new organizational directives or changes in risk thresholds are communicated, the risk manager is required to assess the impact and update the risk management plan to reflect these changes. The PMBOK® Guide states:

“When organizational risk thresholds or tolerances are changed, the risk management plan and associated processes must be updated to ensure alignment with current requirements.”

— PMBOK® Guide, 6th Edition, Section 11.1.3.1 (Risk Management Plan: Updates)

This ensures that risk responses, monitoring, and reporting are in accordance with the most current strategic direction and tolerances.

If a risk still leaves substantial residual risk after implementing the mitigation strategy, the risk manager should revisit the risk register and redefine the mitigation strategy to reduce the residual risk to an acceptable level.

According to the PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management1, an effect of adding the correlation to the Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model is that it increases the standard deviation of the model. This is because:

Correlation is the statistical relationship between two or more variables. In a schedule risk analysis, correlation can be used to model the dependency between the durations of different activities. For example, if two activities are positively correlated, it means that if one activity takes longer than expected, the other activity is also likely to take longer than expected. Conversely, if two activities are negatively correlated, it means that if one activity takes longer than expected, the other activity is likely to take shorter than expected.

A Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis is a simul-ation technique that uses random values for uncertain variables, such as activity durations, to generate possible outcomes for the project schedule. The simul-ation is repeated many times to produce a probability distribution of the project completion date and duration. The standard deviation is a measure of the variability or dispersion of the distribution. A higher standard deviation means that the distribution is more spread out and less predictable.

Adding correlation to the Monte Carlo schedule risk analysis model increases the standard deviation of the model because it introduces more variability and uncertainty to the simul-ation. Correlated activities can have a cumulative effect on the project schedule, either positively or negatively, depending on the direction and strength of the correlation. This can result in more extreme outcomes for the project completion date and duration, which increase the spread of the distribution and the standard deviation.

PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, Chapter 11: Project Risk Management1

Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP)® Exam Cert Guide2

Since the design phase is complete and the identified risks did not materialize, the project manager should close the risks and update their status in the risk register.

 The project manager should close the risks that did not materialize during the design phase and update their status in the risk register. Closing risks is part of the monitor and close risks process, which involves tracking the implementation of risk responses, monitoring the residual and secondary risks, and evaluating the effectiveness of risk management throughout the project. Closing risks also involves updating the risk register with the current status of the risks, the outcomes of the risk responses, and any lessons learned from the risk management process. Updating the risk register helps to maintain an accurate and updated record of the project risks and their impacts. References: PMI, Project Risk Management, 2nd edition, 2019, p. 97-981

After analyzing the information collected from individual project team members, the risk manager ' s primary output is an updated risk register. The risk register is a key document in risk management, containing all identified risks, their analysis, and the planned responses. As new information is gathered and analyzed, the risk register is updated to reflect the current status of each risk, any changes in their probability or impact, and any adjustments to the risk response plans.

PMI emphasizes that the risk register should be continually updated throughout the project to ensure that all risks are properly managed and documented​​.