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PRMIA 8007 - Exam II: Mathematical Foundations of Risk Measurement - 2015 Edition

Page: 4 / 4
Total 132 questions

In a binomial tree lattice, at each step the underlying price can move up by a factor of u = 1.1 or down by a factor of . The continuously compounded risk free interest rate over each time step is 1% and there are no dividends paid on the underlying. The risk neutral probability for an up move is:

A.

0.5290

B.

0.5292

C.

0.5286

D.

0.5288

Which of the following statements concerning class intervals used for grouping of data is correct?

When grouping data, attention must be paid to the following with regards to class intervals:

1. Class intervals should not overlap

2. Class intervals should be of equal size unless there is a specific need to highlight data within a specific subgroup

3. The class intervals should be large enough so that they not obscure interesting variation within the group

A.

Statements 2 and 3 are correct

B.

Statements 1 and 2 are correct

C.

All three statements are correct

D.

Statements 1 and 3 are correct

A linear regression gives the following output:

Figures in square brackets are estimated standard errors of the coefficient estimates.

Which of the following is an approximate 95% confidence interval for the true value of the coefficient of ?

A.

[0, 1.5]

B.

[1, 2]

C.

[0, 3]

D.

None of the above

Which of the following statements is true?

A.

Discrete and continuous compounding produce the same results if the discount rate is positive.

B.

Continuous compounding is the better method because it results in higher present values compared to discrete compounding.

C.

Continuous compounding can be thought as making the compounding period infinitesimally small.

D.

The constant plays an important role in the mathematical description of continuous compounding.

There are two portfolios with no overlapping of stocks or bonds. Portfolio 1 has 6 stocks and 6 bonds. Portfolio 2 has 4 stocks and 8 bonds. If we randomly select one stock, what is the probability that it came from Portfolio1?

A.

0.3

B.

0.5

C.

0.6

D.

None of these

Let X be a random variable normally distributed with zero mean and let . Then the correlation between X and Y is:

A.

negative

B.

zero

C.

not defined

D.

positive

You are to perform a simple linear regression using the dependent variable Y and the independent variable X (Y = a + bX). Suppose that cov(X,Y)=10, var(X)= 5, and that the mean of X is 1 and the mean of Y is 2. What are the values for the regression parameters a and b?

A.

b=0.5, a=2.5

B.

b=0.5, a=1.5

C.

b=2, a=4

D.

b=2, a=0

Exploring a regression model for values of the independent variable that have not been observed is most accurately described as…

A.

Estimation

B.

Regression

C.

Hypothesis testing

D.

Prediction

What is the angle between the following two three dimensional vectors: a=(1,2,3), b=(-4,2,0)?

A.

90 degrees

B.

180 degrees

C.

57 degrees

D.

45 degrees