PMI PMI-RMP - PMI Risk Management Professional (PMI-RMP) Exam

According to the PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline1, one of the tools and techniques for risk identification is the Delphi technique. This is a method of obtaining expert opinions anonymously and iteratively until a consensus is reached. The Delphi technique can help overcome the problem of SMEs being reluctant to participate in risk identification because it allows them to express their views without fear of criticism or confrontation from other participants. The Delphi technique can also reduce the influence of dominant or biased individuals and encourage honest and independent feedback. Therefore, the best answer is B. References: 1: PMI-RMP Exam Content Outline, page 8.

Residual risks are the risks that remain after the risk response plan has been implemented. They are the risks that are accepted by the project team and stakeholders as part of the project. Residual risks may have low probability or impact, but they still need to be monitored and controlled throughout the project. The first thing that the risk manager should do when a risk owner identifies and reports some residual risks is to analyze, document, and communicate them to the relevant stakeholders. The risk manager should assess the probability and impact of the residual risks, and determine if they require any further response or contingency plan. The risk manager should also update the risk register and the risk report with the information about the residual risks, and share them with the stakeholders who need to be aware of them. This will help the project team and stakeholders to be prepared for any potential occurrence of the residual risks, and to take appropriate actions if needed. References: PMI, The Standard for Risk Management in Portfolios, Programs, and Projects, 2019, p. 94-95, 101.

To determine whether to purchase the new component, we can perform an Expected Monetary Value (EMV) analysis for both scenarios: purchasing the component and not purchasing it.

1. Purchasing the New Component:

Probability of Success: 70% (0.7)

Profit if Successful: US$500,000

EMV of Success: 0.7 * $500,000 = $350,000

Probability of Failure: 30% (0.3)

Additional Cost if Failed: US$50,000

EMV of Failure: 0.3 * (-$50,000) = -$15,000

Cost of Component: -$100,000

Total EMV: $350,000 (success) - $15,000 (failure) - $100,000 (cost) = $235,000

2. Not Purchasing the New Component:

Probability of Failure: 80% (0.8)

Cost if Failed: US$250,000

EMV of Failure: 0.8 * (-$250,000) = -$200,000

Probability of Success: 20% (0.2)

Profit if Successful: US$0 (assuming no additional profit without the component)

EMV of Success: 0.2 * $0 = $0

Total EMV: $0 (success) - $200,000 (failure) = -$200,000

Comparing the two scenarios, purchasing the new component yields a positive EMV of $235,000, whereas not purchasing it results in a negative EMV of -$200,000. Therefore, from a risk management perspective, it is advisable to purchase the new component.

PMI Risk Management Study Guide References:

The PMI-RMP Exam Preparation Study Guide discusses the application of Expected Monetary Value (EMV) analysis in decision-making under uncertainty, providing a structured approach to evaluate potential financial outcomes.

The project charter is the first resource the project manager should reference to determine the risk tolerance and risk attitudes of the project’s key stakeholders, as it contains information such as the project purpose, objectives, success criteria, high-level risks, and key stakeholder list. The project charter is an output of the Develop Project Charter process, which is part of the Initiating process group. The project charter provides the project manager with the authority to apply organizational resources to project activities and establishes a partnership between the performing organization and the requesting organization. References: PMBOK Guide, 6th edition, page 81-82.

Enterprise environmental factors (EEFs) provide information about the organization ' s culture, risk tolerance, and risk attitudes, which can help the project manager determine the risk tolerance and risk attitudes of the project ' s key stakeholders. (Reference: PMBOK Guide, 6th Edition, p. 39)